Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.250557 4.590761 4.956611 5.381247 5.863036 6.395650 7.033104
2025-03-23 3.740860 4.222230 4.776428 5.469965 6.326773 7.367426 8.754281
2025-03-30 3.319316 3.848767 4.484818 5.320681 6.414805 7.836164 9.891569
2025-04-06 3.018686 3.570106 4.253854 5.186645 6.464718 8.219247 10.941239
2025-04-13 2.789890 3.351924 4.066825 5.072604 6.504880 8.567999 11.979972
2025-04-20 2.624003 3.196642 3.941704 5.019515 6.610143 9.008755 13.234793
2025-04-27 2.542699 3.143078 3.943202 5.136002 6.967139 9.876204 15.401783
2025-05-04 2.469972 3.093570 3.942978 5.245011 7.319984 10.788845 17.905307
2025-05-11 2.367590 2.995327 3.864885 5.227211 7.464132 11.363783 19.911040
2025-05-18 2.269945 2.897043 3.778610 5.186729 7.562012 11.866355 21.919736
2025-05-25 2.151964 2.763239 3.631457 5.037328 7.455026 11.961905 23.006133
2025-06-01 2.056893 2.657410 3.519278 4.934448 7.417099 12.184565 24.490596
2025-06-08 1.982117 2.581210 3.452758 4.910258 7.535904 12.785758 27.368904
2025-06-15 1.938098 2.548364 3.450997 4.995097 7.871382 13.931470 32.540099
2025-06-22 1.848007 2.442404 3.329377 4.865378 7.779552 14.102734 34.700985
2025-06-29 1.767875 2.347665 3.220013 4.748165 7.698398 14.284303 37.045403
2025-07-06 1.697644 2.264733 3.124770 4.648239 7.640001 14.510136 39.747295
2025-07-13 1.643715 2.204286 3.062220 4.601670 7.685666 15.010046 44.031109
2025-07-20 1.623810 2.194973 3.081367 4.703811 8.057125 16.463877 54.372911
2025-07-27 1.603497 2.183858 3.096515 4.799259 8.427775 18.036016 67.967391
2025-08-03 1.563575 2.140151 3.054897 4.783683 8.545630 18.898365 78.813807
2025-08-10 1.522453 2.092920 3.004962 4.748244 8.612898 19.626472 90.356802
2025-08-17 1.466770 2.020582 2.909287 4.617299 8.438305 19.517939 94.631684